In a certain state lottery, a lottery ticket cost $6. In terms of the decision to purchase or not to purchase a lottery ticket, suppose that the following payoff table applies:
| State of nature | |
Decision alternative | Wins s1 | Lose s2 |
Purchase lottery ticket d1 | 250,000 | -6 |
Do not purchase lottery ticket d2 | 0 | 0 |
1. A realistic estimate of the chances of winning are 1 in 300,000. Use the expected value approach to recommend a decision.
2. If a particular decision maker assigns an indifference probability of 0,00004 to the $0 payoff, would this individual purchase a lottery ticket? Use the expected utility to justify your answer.
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